Two Uncertainties Are Not One: Disagreement versus Decision-Risk in Cheap Structured Content Moderation
arXiv:2610.33258v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Content moderation compresses a graded, contested human judgment into a binary act (leave up / take down) over billions of items, at a scale where running a frontier LLM on every post is uneconomical. A new class of frozen "System One" models returns typed, calibrated decisions instead of text at USD 0.000025 per call and 100 ms. We run the first independent audit of one such model on 142,658 human-labeled comments, and benchmark it against 14 frontier reasoning models (the GPT-5.x, Claude, Gemini 3, and Grok families) on a shared probe set. Two